Trustnet Magazine Issue 46 December 2018 | Page 4

Cover story [ 2018 IN REVIEW ] 2 / 3 For many investors the double-digit gains they have enjoyed across the vast majority of asset classes in recent years are little more than a distant memory In FE Trustnet Magazine’s traditional end-of-year review, Holly Black attempts to find out what happened to the extended bull run everyone was taking for granted 12 months ago A damp squib A ny investor who had been hoping for a quiet year in 2018 will have been sorely disappointed. The past 12 months have seen a trade war between the US and China, a currency crisis in Turkey, and an ever-expanding list of Cabinet resignations. We have seen political and economic strife across emerging markets, the first company to reach a market capitalisation of $1trn – closely followed by the second company to reach the milestone – and a sell-off in the stock market, which seems to have marked the beginning of the end of the longest and most hated bull run of all time. FE TRUSTNET The past 12 months have been full of surprises and volatility; for many investors, the double-digit gains they have enjoyed across the vast majority of asset classes in recent years are little more than a distant memory, with capital preservation the new priority. Quantitative tightening Central bank monetary policy has remained a dominant talking point in markets over the past 10 years and 2018 was no different. But this year the focus was on the winding down of quantitative easing programmes as banks started to raise interest rates – very gradually in the case of the UK and not so gradually in the US. The European Central Bank is expected to follow suit in 2019. Jason Hollands, managing director at Tilney Bestinvest, says: “This has been a significant development trustnet.com