AFISE Mortality and ART efficacy

A little boy having a bit of trouble reaching the window sill of the pharmacy at the Pediatric Infectious Diseases Clinic at the Mulago Hospital , Kampala , Uganda .

Bristol-Myers Squibb Foundation

Mortality and ART efficacy outcomes in children < 12 years on ART in Lesotho , Swaziland and Malawi

The BIPAI

Benghazi , Libya

Children ’ s

Background

Sub-Saharan Africa accounts for only 11 % of the

world total population , yet over 60 % of the world ’ s

Clinical Centers

HIV infections occur in sub-Saharan Africa . 1 For

of Excellence

more than 10 years , the means to reduce the vertical

transmission of the HIV virus from mother to
child has been available yet for more than ten years
the number of new paediatric HIV infections has continued to rise at a precipitous rate . 2

Network

Kampala , Uganda Mwanza , Tanzania

Kisumu , Kenya Mbeya ,

Tanzania

Lilongwe , Malawi

Gaborone , Botswana Mbabane , Swaziland

The effectiveness of antiretroviral therapy ( ART )

Maseru , Lesotho

in children in resource-limited settings has not

yet been well documented , partly because the
proportion of individuals initiated on ART who are children remains low ( e . g 7.4 % in Lesotho , whereas 15 % of all infected individuals in that country are children ). Efforts by the Baylor International Pediatric AIDS Initiative ( BIPAI ) through its Network of Children ’ s Centres of Excellence ( COE ) have accelerated scale up of pediatric ART in Africa , now allowing evaluation of effectiveness . The objective of the study was to evaluate the mortality rate on HAART and the effectiveness of HAART among children treated at the COEs in southern Africa .

Currently over 68,000 patients are receiving care and treatment within the BIPAI network in Africa and Romania .

Hypothesis

HAART as administered to children with HIV / AIDS at the BIPAI COE ’ s in Africa will result in comparable rates of true mortality to those observed in the United States .

Primary objective

The primary objective is to determine the rate of mortality on HAART over a twelve month period in children , aged 0 to 12 years , enrolled onto therapy at the COE ’ s .

Secondary objectives a ) to determine clinical outcomes of children enrolled at the three COEs , in terms of efficacy of HAART , adherence to ARV medication , level of appropriate prescription of cotrimoxazole and correction or improvement of malnutrition .

b ) to determine the possible relationships between a range of baseline factors and mortality .

Methods

This retrospective study utilized existing programmatic data from the Lesotho , Malawi , and Swaziland COEs .

ART-naïve HIV-infected children < 12 years of age initiating ART and being followed for 12 months were included . Annualized mortality was calculated at three month intervals between February 2008 and September 2009 . In addition , mortality rates were estimated overall and for each demographic and clinical subgroup per 100 person-years under a Poisson distribution . Efficacy of ART was defined as improvement in CD4 count of > 5 % from baseline for children < 5 years or increase of > 50 CD4 + cells / ml for children > 5-12 years during the first year on ART , with all deaths , discontinuations and lost to follow ups being counted failures .

Hazard ratios ( HRs ) and 95 % confidence intervals were estimated for the univariate associations between overall mortality and each demographic and clinical subgroup . The univariate and multivariate analyses were repeated to determine the demographic and clinical factors associated with outcomes with 12 months of HAART .

Results

Median age at enrollment

2.0 years ( range 6 days to 11 years )

Median duration on HAART

2.0 years ( range 2 days to 6.4 years )

Annualized mortality ( Feb . 2008 )

9.3 % ( 101 / 1082 )

Annualized mortality ( Sep . 2009 ) 4.4 % ( 102 / 2306 ) Overall mortality

1.98 deaths / 100 person years

Efficacy of HAART

71.3 % ( 1450 / 2035 )

Lost-to-follow-up

9.0 % ( 208 / 2306 )

Adherence to HAART ( Malawi and Swaziland )

77.0 % had ≥ 95 % adherence

( 962 / 1250 ) % appropriate cotrimoxazole coverage 88.6 % ( 1159 / 1308 ) % improvement in malnutrition since

enrollment

Table 1 : Top-line results

87.4 % ( 553 / 633 )

Figure 1 . Kaplan-Meier curve for age at study entry

The overall mortality rate was 1.98 deaths / 100 person-years ( 95 % CI 1.62-2.39 ). This is comparable to overall mortality rates for HIV infected children reported for the United States . 3

The US Pediatric AIDS Clinical Trials Group 219 / 291C reported an overall mortality rate of 1.47 deaths / 100 person-years ( 95 % CI 1.31-1.65 ) for children enrolled and followed up between April 1993 and December 2006 3 . However , they reported a declining mortality rate over the study years with mortality rates between 0.5-0.8 deaths / 100 person-years between 2000 and 2006 in the post-HAART era . In addition , comparisons between the mortality rates between the PACTG and BIPAI cohorts should be made with caution because of the different age distributions between the cohorts .

Mortality was highest in the first year of HAART treatment , 78 % of all deaths occurring within that period . With regard to baseline factors , age less than one year , WHO stage IV and evidence of malnutrition at enrolment were associated with higher mortality , while primary caregiver other than the mother or father was associated with lower mortality ( figure 1 and table 2 ). Country and gender were unrelated to mortality .

Baseline factor

Total

Died (%)

Mortality rate

Unadjusted

n = 2177

n = 104

Deaths / 100 PYrs

Hazard ratio

( 95 % CI )

( 95 % CI )

Age at entry < 1 year

538

49 ( 9.1 %)

4.68 ( 3.49-6.15 )

4.22 ( 2.33-7.65 )

1 - 2.9 years

631

28 ( 4.4 %)

1.99 ( 1.32-2.86 )

1.86 ( 0.98-3.54 )

3 - 6.9 years

589

13 ( 2.2 %)

0.90 ( 0.48-1.54 )

0.88 ( 0.41-1.86 )

7 - 12 years

548

14 ( 2.6 %)

1.03 ( 0.56-1.72 )

reference

WHO stage at entry I

514

24 ( 4.7 %)

2.22 ( 1.43-3.29 )

reference

II

437

5 ( 1.1 %)

0.49 ( 0.16-1.14 )

0.23 ( 0.09-0.60 )

III

965

42 ( 4.4 %)

1.71 ( 1.24-2.31 )

0.85 ( 0.51-1.41 )

IV

316

32 ( 10.1 %)

4.80 ( 3.30-6.71 )

2.22 ( 1.30-3.76 )

missing

74

1 ( 1.4 %)

Primary caregiver Mother / father

1603

89 ( 5.6 %)

2.52 ( 2.03-3.09 )

reference

Other relative

562

12 ( 2.1 %)

0.85 ( 0.44-1.48 )

0.35 ( 0.19-0.65 )

Non relative

56

2 ( 3.6 %)

1.28 ( 0.16-4.55 )

0.55 ( 0.14-2.23 )

Missing

58

0 ( 0.0 %)

Nutritional status Normal

1425

41 ( 2.9 %)

1.23 ( 0.89-1.67 )

reference

Mild malnutrition

314

11 ( 3.5 %)

1.50 ( 0.75-2.66 )

1.21 ( 0.62-2.36 )

Moderate malnutrition

289

16 ( 5.5 %)

2.59 ( 1.49-4.17 )

2.03 ( 1.14-3.63 )

Severe malnutrition

154

25 ( 16.2 %)

9.69 ( 6.37-13.97 )

7.02 ( 4.26-11.57 )

Missing

124

11 ( 8.9 %)

Table 2 : Baseline factors affecting mortality

Conclusions

Despite the challenges associated with the public health approach to implementing pediatric-focused ART programs in developing countries , low mortality and good treatment efficacy outcomes in children can be achieved . At BIPAI COEs in southern Africa mortality rates have fallen progressively over time and now

Authors :

R . S . Wanless 1 , M . Kabue 2 , P . Kazembe 2 , E . Mohapi 3 , L . Thahane 3 , A . Devlin 3 , N . S . Hailu 4 , D . McCollum 4 , N . Calles 5 , G . Schutze 5 , M . Kline 5 , M . Mizwa 5 , Chantal Caviness 5 , Shaun Krog 6 approach those observed in developed countries in similar HIV-infected populations .

References

1

Baylor College of Medicine International Pediatric AIDS Initiative at Texas Children ’ s Hospital , Fundatia Baylor Marea Neagra , Constanta , Romania ,

2

Baylor College of Medicine – Abbott Fund Children ’ s Centre of Excellence , Lilongwe , Malawi ,

3

Baylor College of Medicine – Bristol Myers Squibb Children ’ s Clinical Centre of Excellence , Maseru , Lesotho ,

4

Baylor College of Medicine – Bristol Myers Squibb Children ’ s Clinical Centre of Excellence , Mbabane , Swaziland ,

5

Baylor College of Medicine International Pediatric AIDS Initiative at Texas Children ’ s Hospital , Houston , United States ,

6

VirtualPurple Professional Services , Durban , KwaZulu-Natal , South Africa

1 . UNAIDS / WHO AIDS Epidemic Update : December 2006 , accessed online at http :// data . unaids . org / pub / EpiReport / 2006 / 2006 _ EpiUpdate _ en . pdf 2 . Children and AIDS : Second Stocktaking Report , April 2008 . Accessed online at www . unicef . org / publications / index _ 43451 . html 3 . Declines in mortality rates and changes in causes of death in HIV-1- infected children during the HAART era . Michael T . Brady , James M . Oleske , Paige L . Williams et al . for the Pediatric AIDS Clinical Trials Group219 / 219C Team . J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr 2010 ; 53:86 – 94 .

A little boy having a bit of trouble reaching the window sill of the pharmacy at the Pediatric Infectious Diseases Clinic at the Mulago Hospital , Kampala , Uganda .